The answer to "how many calories to lose weight" is not a single number โ it's a formula based on your body, your goals, and how fast you want to lose. The good news: the science is well-established and the calculation takes under 60 seconds.
This guide explains BMR, TDEE, and the right deficit to create โ with a working calculator you can use right now. No guesswork. No extremes.
Step 1: Calculate Your BMR (Basal Metabolic Rate)
Your BMR is the number of calories your body burns at complete rest โ just to keep organs functioning, blood circulating, and breathing going. It accounts for 60โ70% of your total daily calorie burn [1].
The most accurate formula for non-athletes is the Mifflin-St Jeor equation, validated in a 2005 review as the most precise for healthy adults [2]:
Women: BMR = (10 ร weight in kg) + (6.25 ร height in cm) โ (5 ร age) โ 161
For example, a 30-year-old woman who weighs 70 kg and is 165 cm tall has a BMR of: (10 ร 70) + (6.25 ร 165) โ (5 ร 30) โ 161 = 1,445 kcal/day.
Step 2: Find Your TDEE (Total Daily Energy Expenditure)
Your BMR only tells you the bare minimum. Your TDEE is what you actually burn each day, accounting for movement, exercise, and the energy used to digest food [1]. Multiply your BMR by your activity factor:
| Activity Level | Description | Multiplier |
|---|---|---|
| Sedentary | Office job, little exercise | ร 1.2 |
| Lightly Active | Light exercise 1โ3 days/week | ร 1.375 |
| Moderately Active | Moderate exercise 3โ5 days/week | ร 1.55 |
| Very Active | Hard exercise 6โ7 days/week | ร 1.725 |
| Extra Active | Physical job + daily training | ร 1.9 |
So for our example: 1,445 ร 1.375 (lightly active) = 1,987 kcal/day TDEE. This is her maintenance โ how much she needs to eat to stay at her current weight.
Free Calorie Calculator
Use this calculator to find your personalised daily calorie target for weight loss:
๐งฎ TDEE & Calorie Deficit Calculator
How Big Should Your Calorie Deficit Be?
Not all deficits are equal. The research consistently points to a moderate deficit of 300โ500 kcal/day as the safest and most sustainable approach for most adults [4]:
- Too small (under 200 kcal): Weight loss is extremely slow and easily wiped out by minor daily fluctuations in water retention.
- Moderate (300โ500 kcal): Produces 0.3โ0.5 kg/week of fat loss. Muscle mass is preserved. Hunger is manageable. Adherence is high.
- Too large (750+ kcal): Faster scale movement, but significantly more muscle loss, hormonal disruption, and risk of metabolic adaptation โ your body slows its burn to compensate [5].
Ready to put this into practice? Get our: Free Meal Plan for Weight Loss โ 1,500 Calories, High Protein
Calorie Deficit vs. Weekly Fat Loss Chart
Here's what different daily deficits look like in terms of weekly and monthly fat loss, based on the 7,700 kcal/kg fat calculation [6]:
Theoretical projections based on 7,700 kcal/kg fat. Actual results vary due to water retention, metabolic adaptation, and adherence [6].
Real-World Examples
| Profile | TDEE | Target Calories | Expected Loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Woman, 30, 70kg, sedentary | 1,733 kcal | 1,233โ1,483 kcal | 0.3โ0.5 kg/week |
| Man, 35, 85kg, lightly active | 2,345 kcal | 1,845โ2,095 kcal | 0.3โ0.5 kg/week |
| Woman, 25, 60kg, moderately active | 1,938 kcal | 1,438โ1,688 kcal | 0.3โ0.5 kg/week |
| Man, 40, 100kg, very active | 3,105 kcal | 2,605โ2,855 kcal | 0.3โ0.5 kg/week |
3 Common Calorie Mistakes That Stall Weight Loss
- Underreporting portion sizes. A 2020 study found that people underestimate calorie intake by 30โ50% on average [3]. Measure your food for 7 days โ you will be surprised how much a "handful" actually weighs.
- Not accounting for exercise calories burned. Many people eat back all of their exercise calories based on gym machine estimates, which overstate calorie burn by 25โ40% [7]. Use your activity multiplier in TDEE instead of adding calories back.
- Setting too aggressive a deficit and quitting. A 1,000 kcal daily deficit means extreme hunger, muscle loss, and fatigue. Studies consistently show that adherence drops sharply below 1,200 kcal in women and 1,500 kcal in men [4]. Slow and steady wins.
Now that you know your calorie target, use it with our: 7-Day Diet Plan for Weight Loss โ Science-Backed & Free
Want specific meals at your calorie target? See: High-Protein Meal Prep Recipes for Weight Loss
Let NoxFit Track It For You โ Automatically
NoxFit calculates your personal calorie target, logs meals with barcode scan or photo, and adjusts your plan as you progress. 100% free.
Download NoxFit Free โReferences
- Levine JA. (2004). Nonexercise activity thermogenesis (NEAT). Science, 307(5709), 584โ586.
- Frankenfield D, et al. (2005). Comparison of predictive equations for resting metabolic rate in healthy nonobese and obese adults. Journal of the American Dietetic Association, 105(5), 775โ789.
- Dhurandhar NV, et al. (2015). Energy balance measurement: when something is not better than nothing. International Journal of Obesity, 39(7), 1109โ1113.
- Areta JL, et al. (2014). Timing and distribution of protein ingestion during prolonged recovery from resistance exercise alters myofibrillar protein synthesis. Journal of Physiology, 591(9), 2319โ2331.
- Trexler ET, et al. (2014). Metabolic adaptation to weight loss: implications for the athlete. Journal of the International Society of Sports Nutrition, 11(1), 7.
- Hall KD, et al. (2012). Quantification of the effect of energy imbalance on bodyweight. The Lancet, 378(9793), 826โ837.
- Drenowatz C & Eisenmann JC. (2011). Validation of the SenseWear Armband at high intensity exercise. European Journal of Applied Physiology, 111(5), 883โ887.